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Specs Rotate: Long JPY & Soybeans, Cut Gold and Oil — What CFTC Positioning Is Telling Us
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Specs Rotate: Long JPY & Soybeans, Cut Gold and Oil — What CFTC Positioning Is Telling Us

This post breaks down the latest COT report across FX, commodities, and equity indices, highlighting where speculative money is rotating — into JPY, EUR, soybean, and Nasdaq, and out of gold, oil, commodity FX, and S&P 500. A practical, cross-asset guide to positioning, risks, and potential contrarian setups for active traders.

author: Ahura Chalaki

243

published:Dec 4, 2025 13:50

category:trading-ideas

The latest CFTC Commitments of Traders (COT) report shows a subtle but important rotation in speculative positioning across FX, commodities, and equity indices.

The big picture:

  • FX: Strong bullish conviction in EUR and JPY, growing pessimism toward GBP and commodity currencies (CAD, AUD, NZD).
  • Commodities: Specs cut gold and crude oil longs but stay constructive on copper and aggressively buy soybeans, while staying bearish on grains and natural gas.
  • Equity indices: A classic divergence — long Nasdaq 100, short S&P 500, i.e., tech optimism vs broad market hedging.

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