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Monetary Policy Summary — November 2025
At its meeting concluding on 5 November 2025, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted by a narrow majority of 5–4 to maintain the Bank Rate at 4%. Four members favored a 0.25-percentage-point reduction to 3.75%.
Inflation Outlook
Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation is now judged to have peaked. The process of underlying disinflation continues, aided by the still-restrictive stance of monetary policy. This is evident in easing wage growth and softer services inflation. The disinflation trend is further supported by subdued economic activity and increasing slack in the labour market.
Policy Balance and Risks
Monetary policy is being calibrated to strike a sustainable balance around achieving the 2% inflation target. The risk of persistent inflation has diminished, while the risk of weaker demand posing downward pressure on inflation has become more apparent. As a result, the overall balance of risks is now more even—though further evidence is required on both sides.
Policy Outlook
The degree of monetary restrictiveness has lessened as the Bank Rate has been lowered. Any additional reductions will depend on how the inflation outlook evolves. If disinflation continues to make steady progress, the MPC anticipates that the Bank Rate will likely move gradually lower over time.


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