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Daily Market Update — November 4, 2025
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Daily Market Update — November 4, 2025

Markets opened Tuesday with a cautious tone as risk sentiment softened and volatility ticked higher, with the VIX back above 20. The Reserve Bank of Australia held rates at 3.60% and signaled no discussion of cuts, putting pressure on the Aussie dollar as sticky inflation remains a concern. U.S. futures trade weaker following a mixed Monday session, while Asian markets ended mostly lower overnight. In energy, OPEC+’s pause on output increases keeps oil balanced but capped amid oversupply chatter. Meanwhile, Bitcoin and major altcoins trade softer as broader risk appetite remains muted.

author: Economician

30

published:Nov 16, 2025 14:27

category:daily

Overnight & Early Session Highlights

  • RBA holds at 3.60% — reiterated no cuts considered; inflation guidance cautious
  • AUD declines post-decision as markets price slower easing path
  • S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures slightly lower; Asia in red
  • Oil consolidates — WTI below $61, supply narratives limit upside
  • Gold hovers near $4,000 awaiting U.S. data and yield direction
  • Bitcoin trades near $104–105k; crypto tone soft
  • USD firm against G10; EUR/GBP steady-to-softer

Quick Market Snapshot

Key Events Today

  • 🇦🇺 RBA press conference
  • 🇺🇸 JOLTS Job Openings (Sep)
  • 🇺🇸 Trade Balance (Sep)
  • 🇺🇸 Factory Orders (Sep) + revisions
  • 🇺🇸 Red Book Retail Sales
  • 🇨🇦 Canada Trade Data (Sep)

What Will Drive Markets Today

  • US labor data & orders — stronger data could support USD, weigh on tech
  • Oil headlines — OPEC+ tone + US inventory signals guide price around $61–65
  • AUD watch — RBA follow-up remarks determine sentiment path

Risk remains elevated with volatility firm — traders remain defensive into key data.


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