Asia Markets – Sharp Declines Amid Japan GDP Shock & Nvidia Anxiety
Asian equities opened the week on a weak footing after Japan’s 3Q GDP contracted 1.8%, marking its worst performance since mid-2024. Although the contraction was milder than the expected 2.5% decline, it stemmed from weak consumption and falling exports, hit by higher U.S. tariffs.
- Nikkei 225: –0.6%
- TOPIX: –0.6%
Stronger capital expenditure softened the blow, while the weaker GDP reading reduced expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike in December, helping limit losses.
But analysts at Capital Economics emphasized that sticky inflation and relatively firm growth still keep the possibility of a January rate hike alive.
China & Japan Tensions Add Pressure
A growing diplomatic rift between Beijing and Tokyo deepened market concerns:
- CSI 300: –0.7%
- Shanghai Composite: –0.6%
- Hang Seng: –0.5%
China warned citizens against traveling to Japan after comments from Japanese PM Sanae Takaichi regarding Taiwan and potential military involvement.
This led to double-digit losses in Japanese tourism names including Ryohin Keikaku, Isetan Mitsukoshi, and Shiseido.
Nvidia Earnings in Focus – Tech Sentiment Fragile
Asian tech shares followed Wall Street lower as investors braced for Nvidia’s earnings:
- Nvidia expected to post 53.8% YoY earnings growth, but the bar is high.
- Concerns intensified after Peter Thiel fully exited his $100M Nvidia position.
- Michael Burry also revealed short positions on Nvidia and Palantir.
- SoftBank recently exited its Nvidia stake as well.
The fear of an AI-driven bubble weighed heavily, especially after reports of OpenAI’s massive long-term spending needs.
South Korea Outperforms – Semiconductors Rebound
South Korea’s KOSPI surged 1.7%, sharply outperforming the region.
The rally was powered by:
- SK Hynix & Samsung jumping on news of sharply lower chip inventories, signaling stronger demand.
- Expectations of rising global chip prices.
- Steady export growth and declining imports in October.
Samsung also rallied after pledging new investments in domestic chipmaking infrastructure.
Other Asia Markets
- ASX 200: –0.3%
- Straits Times (Singapore): –0.1%
- Nifty 50 (India): +0.3% — nearing the 26,000 level
What Happened Overnight & Market Summary
💱 FX / Currencies
The U.S. Dollar held modestly, supported by risk-off sentiment but pressured by Fed officials’ hawkish remarks, which reduced expectations of a December rate cut.
🪙 Crypto
Cryptocurrencies saw no clear direction.
Bitcoin briefly dropped nearly 2% to $93,684, before rebounding back toward $95,000.
Weak risk appetite and fading momentum in growth sectors weighed on the space.
🛢 Commodities
- Gold ticked higher on safe-haven inflows.
- Oil attempted a mild rebound, supported by supply concerns despite a weaker demand outlook.
📉 Indices
Global equity markets recorded steep declines, marking some of the biggest weekly losses in November so far, as sentiment deteriorated across both U.S. and Asian markets.
🏆 Winners & Losers
🏆 Winners
Gold – Safe-haven demand strengthened amid global uncertainty.
Oil – Slight rebound supported by supply-side concerns.
❌ Losers
Equities – Fading hopes of a Fed rate cut triggered broad selling.
Cryptocurrencies – Lack of catalysts and risk-off environment dragged performance.
📅 Today’s Outlook & Market Risks
Markets begin the new session cautious but with potential for a technical bounce.
However, several risks remain elevated:
- Possible earnings disappointments, especially in the AI and tech sectors
- Renewed financial-system stress
- Sticky or rising inflation challenging the dovish policy narrative
- Rising geopolitical tensions (China–Japan, Taiwan)
- Market fragility ahead of Nvidia earnings
📆 Most Important Economic Calendar Events
United States
- Resumption of delayed construction spending data
- Empire State Manufacturing Survey
- Key CPI, PPI, and NFP readings later this week
Europe & Asia
- Industrial production & PMI releases
- China’s data critical for commodity sentiment
Central Banks
Speeches from:
- Fed’s Williams
- Jefferson
- Kashkari
- Waller
These could further shape the rate-cut expectations curve.


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