Policy makers’ decision in their last meeting was not hawkish, but it was not dovish as well to help the stock markets as well. More than anything else, it brought a feeling of disappointment for investors. Decision makers in the US Federal Reserve Open Market Committee raised the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points […]
The two-day meeting of the Federal Reserve started on Tuesday. At the same time, important questions have occupied the mind, like will the recent banking collapse affect the policymakers’ decisions, and how many more hikes will we have? And so on. The last FOMC meeting concluded on February 1, where analysts believe that results were […]
Recent fears will affect the policymakers’ decisions, but they can not end the hawkish cycle at this level. While financial markets are worried about the spread of bankruptcies to more banks, FOMC, SNB, PBoC, and BoE will have monetary policy meetings and interest rate decisions. Besides bank meetings, we have more data to watch and […]
Recently seen banking crises, increased market uncertainties, and changed the analysts’ market outlook. Some analysts now believe that central banks will not need to try to cool down the economy, and it has enough reason to slow down, especially with the fear of banking bankruptcy. Nevertheless, ahead of next week’s Fed meeting, ECB had no […]
After banking concerns and the fear of its rapid spread to other sectors, some market participants thought Fed might stop its interest rate hikes. Still, this feeling was short-lived, as inflation numbers showed continuing rate hike concerns. Therefore, a 25 basis point rate hike is again most likely predicted. February CPI numbers showed that the […]
With China reopening, lower energy prices, the strong job market in most developed economies, and the relative growth of retail sales, our global economic outlook changed. Now we are less worried about the severity of the upcoming economic recession. Gas prices helped the Europeans fulfill their storage and replenish the gas crisis. Also, lower energy […]
March uncertainty start t increase even more with three major central banks’ interest rate decisions and US labor market data, but still, we have many other numbers to watch. However, the focus still will be on Friday’s US non-farm payrolls, where labor market conditions will tell us what exactly we have to expect from the […]
Most market participants are looking for signs to understand what Fed is going to decide. Will they raise the rates by 50 basis points, then 25, and then end the rate hike cycle before it starts decreasing next year, or will they go for 25 bps, and the next steps will be waiting for market […]
The upside risk of inflation is clearly seen in last night’s published minutes. FOMC members are seeking another 50-bps rate hike in the next meeting, and strong economic and Job data give the Fed more headroom to keep raising interest rates. These conditions make a stronger USD and continuing pressure on stock markets more likely. […]
The Euro has been floating between the Central bank’s decision and economic data. European economic data dedicating a weaker Eurozone economy, while ECB’s policymakers state that the central bank has no reason to pause rate hikes after the following March meeting. With these data and outlook, Euro continues its side movement and dilemma after the […]
The hope of a faster inflation reduction can be an illusion. Federal Reserve Open Markets Committee will end its 2023’s first meeting on Wednesday, February 1. Recently published economic data were mixed; inflation progress has been encouraging, but the labor market is still strong, which means members will have a hard job making decisions. While […]
Central banks and nothing else! We can expect volatile global markets in the week that Fed, ECB, and BoE have policy meetings and interest rate decisions while earnings season continues. The labor market seems fine in the US, UK, and even the Eurozone, but central banks will have difficulty avoiding recession while inflation is still […]
US inflation is in focus! After slowing inflation in Europe and mixed economic data from the United States, US inflation will be the key market driver in the week ahead. However, the United Kingdom will also have a busy week with much data to watch, but in other parts of the world, we will have […]
Today we had a jam-packed calendar. German factory orders fell by -5.3% in November, but retail sales rose by 1.1%. Eurozone, consumer price inflation, eased 0.3% in December to lower the annual CPI to 9.2, down from 10.1% seen in November, but excluding Energy and Food prices, Core CPI in December rose to 5.2%, up […]
While Federal Reserve FOMC released hawkish hints, especially in its rate hikes and inflation estimates, ECB also noted that its policies are becoming tight. Like Fed and BoE, the European Central Bank also raised its key rate from 1.5% to 2% with a smaller rate hike. However, the hawkish stance is seen in its plan […]
It is predicted that Federal Reserve will slow its interest rate hikes at the end of its two-day policy meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday. The latest inflation data published Tuesday shows that consumer prices have lowered faster than expected. The consensus estimate is that the central bank to raise its benchmark interest rate by 50 […]
While Gold ended last week with a positive sentiment, this week started with a downward movement. However, the condition is so mixed that investors and traders mostly wait for Wednesday’s Fed announcement. Fed Wednesday’s meeting is a crucial driver! Last week’s price rise was primarily due to increasing recession concerns, as more tightening policies mean […]
Central banks’ storm! We are getting ready for a crazy week, with critical economic data and central banks’ meetings in the UK, US, Swiss, and Eurozone. This week will tell us how this year will end and how we will start 2023. Market participants will be interested chiefly in their economic outlooks and prediction of […]
Everything is about Inflation and Interest Rates! Fears over a deep recession have made policymakers think twice before going towards more tightening policies. Therefore, the outlook of less hawkish policies changed the market sentiment at the end of November. Many analysts and market participants believe that Fed will likely slow its rate hike pace by […]
Ahead of Friday’s employment report, Fed speakers increased the USD demand. However, the NFP report will be key data two weeks before the Fed meeting. The US employment numbers will make it clear what we have to expect from the central bank’s policymakers. Bulls seem stronger than bears! Slower growth of the labor market could […]
